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Thursday, July 03, 2008
Services Sector Makes Surprising Decline in June
Associated Press
NEW YORK--The nation's services sector declined unexpectedly in June after two months of growth, as new orders fell sharply and oil prices took their toll on businesses.
The Institute for Supply Management said Thursday that the services sector reading fell to 48.2 in June from 51.7 in May. It missed economists' prediction of a reading of 51.0, according to the consensus estimate of Wall Street economists surveyed by Thomson Financial/IFR. A reading above 50 signals growth.
The sector had been growing modestly, while much of the rest of the economy stalled. June's decline in the sector, coupled with Thursday's employment report showing the sixth straight month of job losses, added to the recent streak of bad news about the economy.
Bruce Kane, a Smithtown, N.Y. home accessories manufacturers rep, said stores he sells to are afraid to place orders for Christmas. "Come September, with home heating oil prices, they don't know what the customer is going to do," he said.
The Dow Jones industrial average, which has declined more than 20 percent since its October highs, rose in morning trading, up 30.77 to 11,246.28. Broader indexes were slightly lower, with the Standard & Poor's 500 down 0.39 to 1,261.13 and the Nasdaq composite down 4.08 to 2,247.38.
FOX Translator
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Welcome to the major leagues of debt. Collateralized debt obligations, almost always referred to as a CDOs, are horrendously
complicated deals that often leave anyone without a MBA wondering what was put into these CDOs.
The first thing to
understand about bonds, (aka debt) is that bonds are often backed by something else. Think about your home mortgage. If you
don't pay your mortgage, the bank can take the house. You end up homeless, and the bank sells the house to pay off the rest
of that mortgage. There is something "backing" that mortgage; something lender can fall back on, if you don't pay your bills
like a good human being. That's called collateral.
CDOs are one flavor of an entire sector of investing called structured
finance, and they are also backed. CDOs, in the simplest concept, are just bonds backed by something else. In most cases,
a CDO is backed by a collection of various types of debt. CDOs can be home mortgages, or other types of debt like credit cards,
auto loans, and personal loans. Most of these types of debt are usually considered a bit more risky and they don't have the
backing that a home loan does. So, if you think it through, you can imagine that CDOs are usually considered a risky investment.
To take a step further, understand that CDOs have multiple flavors within each CDO. These flavors are called tranches. If you've taken French, you might recognize the word, it means "slice" or "portion." Each slice of that CDO you invest in is a little different and carries different amounts of risk.
You could invest in the lowest risk tranche of the CDO, which would
provide you lower risk. But, you don't get a good return on that investment. Or, you can be the heroic adventurer of bonds
and invest in the lowest-grade tranche of the CDO. You'll make an amazing return, but if the economy even looks at you wrong,
you might lose the entire investment.
CDOs aren¿t easy, and are almost always invested in by mutual funds, insurance
companies and hedge funds. As an individual investor, you will probably not come across a CDO you can participate in.
